Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 8.951056 10.546243 12.300954 14.368587 16.732220 19.343662 22.440822
2025-01-19 6.555063 8.612453 11.088948 14.265838 18.206854 22.907163 28.906314
2025-01-26 5.416132 7.780964 10.842546 15.042700 20.592773 27.606459 37.059607
2025-02-02 4.575440 7.104236 10.589476 15.649380 22.694611 32.027502 45.169098
2025-02-09 3.984872 6.628570 10.477761 16.346032 24.888479 36.661126 53.850231
2025-02-16 3.346018 5.949286 9.944072 16.321779 25.998249 39.827446 60.696629
2025-02-23 2.736810 5.197504 9.172835 15.808545 26.281779 41.771464 65.877649
2025-03-02 2.228150 4.514848 8.398876 15.165696 26.253578 43.188607 70.310640
2025-03-09 1.926576 4.138026 8.065629 15.170892 27.198953 46.086319 77.085209
2025-03-16 1.683955 3.825281 7.793461 15.231260 28.210663 49.120874 84.220062
2025-03-23 1.466869 3.522044 7.492686 15.195621 29.035939 51.884379 91.062168
2025-03-30 1.219939 3.110505 6.930346 14.616551 28.857513 52.974140 95.248980
2025-04-06 1.064790 2.872601 6.680685 14.605499 29.705675 55.873890 102.664125
2025-04-13 0.928786 2.651737 6.434624 14.572063 30.506771 58.744507 110.208197
2025-04-20 0.881733 2.633948 6.609474 15.386509 32.943196 64.597172 123.140844
2025-04-27 0.823387 2.576648 6.689875 16.012670 35.063481 70.008434 135.589085
2025-05-04 0.776234 2.539173 6.808175 16.725746 37.399618 75.932970 149.229560
2025-05-11 0.686301 2.367276 6.593720 16.701756 38.268857 79.220963 158.343039
2025-05-18 0.580032 2.124448 6.174606 16.178348 38.076971 80.512432 163.904379
2025-05-25 0.482931 1.883870 5.722213 15.522469 37.543876 81.105278 168.187453
2025-06-01 0.429588 1.766390 5.564113 15.527792 38.397378 84.395806 177.624061
2025-06-08 0.384854 1.666126 5.436236 15.589400 39.371846 87.968648 187.754046
2025-06-15 0.341665 1.559995 5.276142 15.553035 40.123074 91.131693 197.240473